• Top Week 9 teaser — Seahawks +8 vs Cardinals / Bengals -1.5 at Panthers: “Nuk” not solving concerns with Arizona defense ranked 30th in success rate and 31st in successful drive percentage.
• Public might love the Panthers, but sharp money is on Bengals, No. 1 in defensive success rate and primed to stymie P.J. Walker and Co.
• Potential Week 9 teaser leg: Chiefs -6.5 (from 12.5) vs Titans: Remember the beatdown Kansas City endured last season at hands of Titans? Rest assured, the Chiefs do.
Last updated: Nov. 3, 9:15 a.m.
Estimated reading time: 4 mins
With the sports betting industry evolving and gaining popularity, so is the way you can make NFL wagers. The days of just betting on sides and totals are over.
One popular way bettors try to find value on NFL lines is by playing teasers. An NFL teaser is similar to a parlay; you add multiple legs that must all win for the bet to pay out. The key difference from parlays is that a teaser allows you to buy points like 6, 6.5 or 7 in a direction that lowers risk.
Teaser Tips to Follow
• Never Cross over 0
• Tease through key numbers 3 & 7
• Tease games with lower totals, ideally anything 49 or less.
Here are four teaser legs I like, along with my favorite two-team, six-point teasers in Week 9:
Cincinnati Bengals -1.5 (from -7.5) vs Carolina Panthers
There is great value on the Bengals this week, thanks to some recency bias. The Bengals got manhandled by the Cleveland Browns on “Monday Night Football,” and the Panthers almost completed an insane come-from-behind win against the Falcons.
The public will love backing the Panthers in Week 9 because the Bengals are again without Ja'Marr Chase and its assumes their offensive struggles continue.
The Panthers put up 34 points and 478 total yards, but keep in mind the Atlanta Falcons rank 31st in defensive EPA/play, Defensive Success rate, and opponents' yards per game. Only the Detroit Lions rank worse in those three categories.
This Bengals' defense will put up more of a fight as they rank first in defensive success rate.
Seattle Seahawks +8 (from +2) @ Arizona Cardinals
We should see some regression from this Seahawks team at some point, but it has yet to happen. Geno Smith and the Seahawks continue to shock the world and win games.
Three weeks ago, the Seahawks took care of business at home with a 19-9 victory over the Cardinals as 2.5 point underdog. This week they find themselves a 2-point underdog once again.
Since DeAndre Hopkins returned from suspension in Week 7, the offense looks a bit more explosive, ranking 14th in success rate over the past two weeks and 17th overall in 2022. The big problem for Arizona is a defense that ranks 30th in success rate and 31st in defensive successful drive percentage (55.3%), meaning opponents are scoring points on 44.7% of their drives.
Kansas City Chiefs -6.5 (from 12.5) vs Tennessee Titans
We are teasing the Chiefs the same way we teased the Bills in Week 8. This is not a traditional spot for a teaser, but again, the value is too good to pass up.
The Titans are on a 5-game winning streak, which might be impressive at first glance. But, throughout the past five games, the opposing QBs are Davis Mills, Matt Ryan (twice), Carson Wentz, and Derek Carr. Not to mention, none of those QBs or teams have a winning record. Despite playing a soft schedule, Tennessee only managed to muster up a 45.5% success rate (ranked 14th) over that winning streak.
The Chiefs are fresh off a bye week and looking for revenge after the Titans roughed them up last season in a 27-3 loss. I like getting the Chiefs below 7 points in this spot, where Travis Kelce has Week 9's top TE matchup, and we might see another 4 TD game.
New Orleans Saints +2.5 (from 8.5) vs Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens rank 6th in offensive EPA/Play and Success Rate, a tad better than what the Saints saw vs the Las Vegas Raiders. But the key for this matchup is the health of the Ravens' offensive playmakers. Rashod Bateman is out for a few weeks due to a foot injury, Mark Andrews suffers from a shoulder injury, and RB Gus Edwards is questionable for week 9.
Even if Jackson's number one target, Andrews, plays, the Saints are among the best teams against opposing tight ends. New Orleans has allowed the 2nd lowest catch rate and 4th lowest receiving yards and is 1 of 3 teams who have not allowed a touchdown to opposing TEs.
Favorite 2-team, 6-point teasers in Week 9
Bengals -1.5 / Seahawks +8
Kurt's teaser won last week, improving his record in this space to 6-3-1 (+2.8 units).
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