• Bet Broncos WR Jerry Jeudy anytime TD at Titans: Russell Wilson is coming off one of his better 2022 passing days, which included Jeudy's first touchdown since Week 4.
• He could draw Titans S Joshua Kalu (44.7 coverage grade) in the slot, and with TE Greg Dulcich coming on alongside Courtland Sutton, opportunities abound for the ex-Bama standout Jeudy.
• Bet Bears QB Justin Fields anytime TD vs Lions: Chicago has called Fields' number on 24 designed runs over the past three games, when he's scored three times and racked up 320 rushing yards.
Last updated: Nov. 10, 12:30 p.m.
Estimated reading time: 4 mins
We’ve reached double-digits — Week 10 of the NFL season has arrived.
We now have a reasonably solid idea of how teams operate at this point in the season. This could also be the time when rookies integrate more into gameplans, as they’ve had a few months to learn playbooks.
Does that play into this week’s anytime TD props? Let’s find out.
Bet: Tampa Bay Buccaneers RB Rachaad White anytime TD (+130) vs Seattle Seahawks
Bet Gameplan: Playable to +120
A Changing Of The Guard?: We mentioned that rookies could start to get more involved this time of year, which could very well be the case for White. Leonard Fournette has done well in the passing game, catching 42 passes and three touchdowns, but he’s averaging a mere 3.3 yards per carry and has had four straight games of three yards per carry or below. White has been a bit more involved these past few weeks, running eight times in Week 9 and 18 times over the past three games combined. He also profiles as a great receiving back. Fournette and Tom Brady seemingly have a great relationship, but the Bucs need to mix it up more, increasing the involvement of the 23-year-old White on offense. After 11 total touches last week, White's usage is pointing upward.
Bet: New Orleans Saints WR Chris Olave anytime TD (+160) @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Bet Gameplan: Playable to +130
Rising Star Meets Porous Defense: The Steelers are coming off a bye, but they seem to have trouble against opposing top wide receivers. In Week 8, they were torched by Philadelphia Eagles wideout A.J. Brown for two scores, and before that, they allowed 160 yards to Miami Dolphins star WR duo Jaylen Waddle/Tyreek Hill and 95 yards to Chris Godwin. Olave has only two touchdowns on his rookie season thus far, but he’s averaged six targets and more than 76 receiving yards over the past three games. He should get matched up quite often with former first-round CB William Jackson III, whom the Steelers acquired at the trade deadline, after allowing receptions on 84.2% of his targets in Weeks 1-5.
Bet: Chicago Bears QB Justin Fields anytime TD (+125) vs Detroit Lions
Bet Gameplan: Playable to +110
Fields Day: The Bears' offense is finally starting to click. It hasn’t really been a fluke either — they’re averaging over 31 points per game and nearly four touchdowns over the past three games (Dolphins, Dallas Cowboys, New England Patriots), with Fields scoring a rushing touchdown in each. In that same span, the Bears have called Fields' number on 24 designed runs, totaling 320 rushing yards. The Lions did well against the Packers, but that says more about the Packers than this Lions defense. On the year, Detroit is allowing averages of nearly 150 rushing yards on 30 carries per game.
Bet: Lions RB Jamaal Williams anytime TD (+119) @ Bears
Bet Gameplan: Playable to +100
Chicago still bad on defense: There’s lingering uncertainty surrounding the health of fellow RBD’Andre Swift, whose TD props weren’t available at the time of this writing. Either way, Williams is in a great spot against a Bears defense that has allowed more than 147 rushing yards rushing per game. And Williams will remain busy, as even if Swift is increasingly involved, that’s more so in the passing game. Williams had 24 carries last week, and since Week 2, he’s gone under 15 carries only one time. This game should be somewhat of a shootout between two bad defenses, and Williams’ usage should get him in the end zone for the first time since Week 7.
Bet: Denver Broncos WR Jerry Jeudy (+220) @ Tennessee Titans
Bet Gameplan: Playable to +180
Denver trending upward?: The Broncos still have plenty of work remaining in turning their season around, but they took a positive step forward across the pond in Week 8 before the bye. Wilson and Jeudy connected on a touchdown as part of Jeudy's six-reception, 63-yard day. Going up against the Titans on the road, the Broncos are 2.5-point underdogs. Whether their offense starts to click or they start to trail, this bodes well for Jeudy. Wilson is coming off one of his better passing days (74.4 grade), and Jeudy should see plenty of Titans safety Joshua Kalu out of the slot. Kalu has struggled in coverage this year (44.7 grade), playing minimal snaps (74) in the slot. With Courtland Sutton on the outside and TE Greg Dulcich also emerging as a receiving threat, Jeudy should have plenty of opportunities in this matchup.
Richard's anytime TD bets went 2-4 in Week 9, bringing his record on the season to 22-37 (-0.08 units).
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